How many UKMTO notices October 26–November 1?
Polymarket traders put "12-15" at 33.5% on "How many UKMTO notices October 26–November 1?". $645 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 2.
Most likely right now
12-15
–34%
PoliticsVol $645Total volume $645Liquidity $52Kin 10 days (Nov 2)
Current probability
Oct 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
12-15
33.5%
–
8-11
29.0%
–
4-7
21.0%
–
16+
10.0%
–
<4
9.00%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
