How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?
Polymarket traders put "225-229" at 45.5% on "How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?". $60 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
225-229
–46%
PoliticsVol $60Total volume $60Liquidity $612in 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
225-229
45.5%
–
235-239
44.0%
–
No vote
32.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
