How many votes will Hakeem Jeffries get on first ballot?
Polymarket traders put "270-274" at 33.5% on "How many votes will Hakeem Jeffries get on first ballot?". $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 4.
Most likely right now
270-274
–34%
PoliticsVol $1.3KTotal volume $1.3KLiquidity $3.0Kin 2 months (Jan 4)
Current probability
Nov 6 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
270-274
33.5%
–
244 or fewer
26.5%
–
250-254
25.0%
–
245-249
23.5%
–
255-259
23.5%
–
260-264
22.5%
–
275-279
18.1%
–
265-269
14.8%
–
280 or more
3.00%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
