IA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 9-12%" at 21.9% on "IA-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.8%p from yesterday. $20 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 9-12%
▼0.822%
PoliticsVol $20Total volume $8.8KLiquidity $124Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 9-12%
21.9%
▼0.8
Democrat 3-6%
19.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 6-9%
18.0%
▼4.8
Democrat 12-15%
15.4%
▲2.8
Republican 0-3%
14.4%
▲1.3
Democrat 0-3%
11.5%
–
Republican 6%+
4.80%
▲0.5
Democrat 15-18%
4.60%
–
Republican 3-6%
4.55%
–
Democrat 18%+
1.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 9-12%
Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 6-9%
Democrat 12-15%
Republican 0-3%
Democrat 0-3%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
