IA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 0-3%" at 32.0% on "IA-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 6.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 0-3%
▼6.532%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 0-3%
32.0%
▼6.5
Republican 6%+
31.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 3-6%
28.0%
▼4.0
Democrat 18%+
25.0%
▼4.5
Democrat 15-18%
24.5%
▼5.0
Democrat 12-15%
24.0%
▼10.0
Democrat 9-12%
23.5%
▼9.0
Republican 0-3%
23.5%
▼8.0
Republican 3-6%
23.0%
▼10.5
Democrat 6-9%
22.0%
▼9.0
Probability over time
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 6%+
Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 18%+
Democrat 15-18%
Democrat 12-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
