IA-03 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Sarah Trone Garriott (D)" at 76.5% on "IA-03 House Election Winner". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Sarah Trone Garriott (D)
–77%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $11KLiquidity $49Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Sarah Trone Garriott (D)
76.5%
–
Zach Nunn (R)
21.5%
–
Probability over time
Sarah Trone Garriott (D)
Zach Nunn (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
