IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 6-9%" at 20.2% on "IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.8%p from yesterday. $125 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 6-9%
▼0.820%
PoliticsVol $125Total volume $13KLiquidity $122Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 6-9%
20.2%
▼0.8
Republican 3-6%
19.1%
▲10.5
Democrat 9-12%
18.5%
▲5.5
Democrat 3-6%
18.5%
▼1.5
Democrat 12-15%
14.2%
▼0.5
Democrat 15-18%
14.0%
▲5.1
Republican 6%+
13.1%
▲12.2
Republican 0-3%
12.3%
▲2.8
Democrat 0-3%
9.50%
▼1.0
Democrat 18%+
2.60%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 6-9%
Republican 3-6%
Democrat 9-12%
Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 12-15%
Democrat 15-18%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
