IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 0-3%" at 36.5% on "IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 11.5%p from yesterday. $130 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 0-3%
▲11.537%
PoliticsVol $130Total volume $236Liquidity $1.3Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 0-3%
36.5%
▲11.5
Democrat 6-9%
26.5%
▼3.0
Democrat 3-6%
26.5%
▲1.5
Democrat 9-12%
25.5%
▲1.5
Democrat 15-18%
23.0%
–
Democrat 18%+
22.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 12-15%
21.0%
▼2.0
Republican 6%+
15.0%
–
Republican 0-3%
7.85%
▼12.9
Republican 3-6%
0.35%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 0-3%
Democrat 6-9%
Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 9-12%
Democrat 15-18%
Democrat 18%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
