IA-04 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Chris McGowan (R)" at 95.0% on "IA-04 House Election Winner". $7 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Chris McGowan (R)
–95%
PoliticsVol $7Total volume $56KLiquidity $69Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Chris McGowan (R)
95.0%
–
David Dawson (D)
5.00%
▲0.5
Probability over time
Chris McGowan (R)
David Dawson (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
