ID-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 35-40%" at 26.5% on "ID-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $324 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 35-40%
▲1.027%
PoliticsVol $324Total volume $14KLiquidity $65Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 35-40%
26.5%
▲1.0
Republican 30-35%
22.0%
▲0.5
Republican 25-30%
20.5%
▼1.5
Republican 20-25%
18.9%
▲2.8
Republican 40-45%
15.8%
–
Republican 10-20%
15.2%
▲7.2
Republican 50%+
14.5%
▲11.3
Republican 45-50%
4.55%
–
Republican 0-10%
3.95%
▲3.6
Democrat Wins
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Republican 35-40%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 40-45%
Republican 10-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
