ID-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 29.5% on "ID-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
▼2.030%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $19Liquidity $9.8Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
29.5%
▼2.0
Republican 30-35%
27.5%
▼4.5
Republican 0-10%
26.0%
▲6.5
Republican 45-50%
25.0%
▼6.0
Republican 40-45%
25.0%
▼1.5
Republican 25-30%
23.0%
▼0.5
Republican 35-40%
22.5%
▼3.0
Republican 10-20%
22.5%
▼4.5
Republican 50%+
21.0%
▼3.0
Democrat Wins
3.15%
–
Probability over time
Republican 20-25%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 0-10%
Republican 45-50%
Republican 40-45%
Republican 25-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
