ID-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Mike Simpson (R)" at 95.4% on "ID-02 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. $10 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Mike Simpson (R)
–95%
PoliticsVol $10Total volume $39KLiquidity $63Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Mike Simpson (R)
95.4%
–
Ellie Gilbreath (D)
3.85%
–
Probability over time
Mike Simpson (R)
Ellie Gilbreath (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
