ID-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 35%+" at 28.0% on "ID-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 8.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 35%+
▲8.528%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $33Liquidity $1.9Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 35%+
28.0%
▲8.5
Republican 30-35%
28.0%
▲6.5
Republican 25-30%
28.0%
▲3.5
Republican 0-5%
27.5%
▲6.0
Republican 15-20%
26.0%
▲6.5
Republican 20-25%
20.0%
▲3.5
Republican 5-10%
19.0%
–
Republican 10-15%
18.0%
▼1.5
Democrat Wins
5.00%
▼0.5
Probability over time
Republican 35%+
Republican 30-35%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
