ID-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 32.0% on "ID-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. $758 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▼2.032%
PoliticsVol $758Total volume $13KLiquidity $135Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
32.0%
▼2.0
Republican 20-25%
28.5%
▼1.0
Republican 10-15%
21.4%
▲5.8
Republican 30-35%
9.40%
▲0.5
Republican 25-30%
7.00%
▲1.0
Democrat Wins
1.05%
–
Republican 5-10%
0.70%
▼9.0
Republican 35%+
0.65%
–
Republican 0-5%
0.65%
–
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 25-30%
Democrat Wins
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
