Idaho Governor Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 30-35%" at 25.5% on "Idaho Governor Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 30-35%
1.526%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $4.5KLiquidity $72Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 30-35%
25.5%
1.5
Republican 25-30%
23.0%
0.5
Republican 20-25%
18.5%
0.5
Republican 15-20%
11.5%
4.0
Republican 35-40%
7.50%
2.0
Republican 10-15%
6.00%
0.5
Republican 40-45%
4.90%
5.5
Republican 0-10%
2.20%
Republican 45-50%
2.10%
Republican 50%+
1.55%
Democrat Wins
1.05%
13.3

Probability over time

Republican 30-35%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 10-15%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.