Idaho Senate Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Jim Risch (R)" at 93.7% on "Idaho Senate Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. $4.7K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Jim Risch (R)
–94%
PoliticsVol $4.7KTotal volume $130KLiquidity $169KComments 2in 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Jim Risch (R)
93.7%
–
Todd Achilles (I)
6.50%
▲0.7
Democrat
0.05%
–

Probability over time

Jim Risch (R)
Todd Achilles (I)
Democrat
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.