IL-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 40-45%" at 24.0% on "IL-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 7.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 40-45%
▼7.024%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 40-45%
24.0%
▼7.0
Democrat 55%+
23.5%
▼9.5
Democrat 45-50%
23.5%
▼9.5
Democrat 0-15%
23.0%
▼8.0
Democrat 50-55%
22.5%
▼3.5
Democrat 25-30%
22.5%
▼3.5
Democrat 30-35%
20.0%
▼7.5
Democrat 35-40%
19.0%
▼12.5
Democrat 15-25%
18.5%
▼7.5
Republican Wins
13.7%
▼9.6
Probability over time
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 55%+
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 0-15%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 25-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
