IL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 40-45%" at 25.0% on "IL-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 4.5%p from yesterday. $191 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 40-45%
▼4.525%
PoliticsVol $191Total volume $11KLiquidity $114Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 40-45%
25.0%
▼4.5
Democrat 45-50%
24.9%
▼1.8
Democrat 35-40%
23.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 0-15%
17.3%
▲16.6
Democrat 50-55%
9.15%
▼2.5
Democrat 30-35%
6.00%
▼1.9
Democrat 25-30%
4.70%
▼0.9
Democrat 15-25%
0.65%
–
Democrat 55%+
0.25%
–
Republican Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 0-15%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 30-35%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
