IL-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 40-45%" at 33.4% on "IL-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 9.8%p from yesterday. $119 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 40-45%
▲9.833%
PoliticsVol $119Total volume $14KLiquidity $113Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 40-45%
33.4%
▲9.8
Democrat 35-40%
21.6%
▼0.5
Democrat 45-50%
20.4%
▼2.5
Democrat 50-55%
14.6%
▼1.6
Democrat 20-30%
8.70%
▲3.2
Democrat 55-60%
5.30%
–
Democrat 30-35%
4.35%
–
Democrat 0-20%
0.75%
–
Republican Wins
0.60%
–
Democrat 60%+
0.40%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 20-30%
Democrat 55-60%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
