IL-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 60%+" at 28.5% on "IL-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 4.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 60%+
▲4.028%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $45Liquidity $1.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 60%+
28.5%
▲4.0
Democrat 30-35%
28.5%
▼1.5
Democrat 45-50%
27.5%
▼3.0
Democrat 0-20%
27.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 50-55%
24.0%
▼6.5
Democrat 35-40%
22.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 40-45%
21.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 20-30%
21.0%
▼5.0
Democrat 55-60%
15.0%
▼8.0
Republican Wins
15.0%
▲7.0
Probability over time
Democrat 60%+
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 0-20%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 35-40%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
