IL-04 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Patty Garcia (D)" at 96.6% on "IL-04 House Election Winner". Up 0.7%p from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Patty Garcia (D)
▲0.797%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $62KLiquidity $35Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Patty Garcia (D)
96.6%
▲0.7
Lupe Castillo (R)
3.25%
▼0.6
Probability over time
Patty Garcia (D)
Lupe Castillo (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
