IL-05 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Mike Quigley (D)" at 96.3% on "IL-05 House Election Winner". Down 1.3%p from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Mike Quigley (D)
▼1.396%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $29KLiquidity $33Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Mike Quigley (D)
96.3%
▼1.3
Tommy Hanson (R)
3.80%
▲0.7

Probability over time

Mike Quigley (D)
Tommy Hanson (R)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.