IL-06 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Sean Casten (D)" at 96.2% on "IL-06 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Sean Casten (D)
–96%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $43KLiquidity $32Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Sean Casten (D)
96.2%
–
Niki Conforti (R)
2.45%
–
Probability over time
Sean Casten (D)
Niki Conforti (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
