IL-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 26.5% on "IL-06 House Election Margin of Victory". $228 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
–27%
PoliticsVol $228Total volume $6.5KLiquidity $139Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
26.5%
–
Democrat 15-20%
26.2%
▲4.6
Democrat 25-30%
17.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 30-35%
15.0%
▲1.0
Democrat 10-15%
13.3%
–
Democrat 0-5%
3.85%
–
Democrat 5-10%
3.30%
▼1.5
Democrat 35%+
0.60%
–
Republican Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
