IL-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 65-70%" at 28.5% on "IL-07 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 65-70%
▲2.028%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $45Liquidity $9.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 65-70%
28.5%
▲2.0
Democrat 85%+
24.5%
▼2.5
Democrat 55-60%
24.5%
–
Democrat 0-45%
24.5%
▼5.5
Democrat 45-55%
24.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 75-80%
22.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 70-75%
20.5%
–
Democrat 60-65%
20.5%
–
Democrat 80-85%
18.5%
▼2.5
Republican Wins
0.95%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 85%+
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 0-45%
Democrat 45-55%
Democrat 75-80%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
