IL-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 65-70%" at 33.5% on "IL-07 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. $534 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 65-70%
▲2.034%
PoliticsVol $534Total volume $11KLiquidity $188Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 65-70%
33.5%
▲2.0
Democrat 70-75%
29.0%
▲1.4
Democrat 75-80%
15.6%
–
Democrat 60-65%
15.0%
▼4.4
Democrat 55-60%
5.50%
▼0.5
Democrat 80-85%
3.40%
▼2.8
Democrat 85%+
2.60%
▼0.7
Republican Wins
2.20%
–
Democrat 45-55%
2.05%
–
Democrat 0-45%
0.80%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 70-75%
Democrat 75-80%
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 80-85%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
