IL-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 25.0% on "IL-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 10.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
▼10.025%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
25.0%
▼10.0
Democrat 20-25%
25.0%
▼9.5
Democrat 5-10%
25.0%
▼10.0
Democrat 15-20%
24.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 10-15%
24.0%
▼6.5
Democrat 0-5%
24.0%
▼3.5
Democrat 35%+
22.0%
▼6.5
Democrat 30-35%
16.0%
▼12.5
Republican Wins
14.6%
▼10.2
Probability over time
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
