IL-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 15-20%" at 37.0% on "IL-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 27.5%p from yesterday. $848 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 15-20%
▲27.537%
PoliticsVol $848Total volume $14KLiquidity $112Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 15-20%
37.0%
▲27.5
Democrat 25-30%
33.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 20-25%
28.0%
▲2.0
Democrat 10-15%
6.55%
–
Democrat 30-35%
6.20%
▼0.5
Democrat 35%+
5.80%
▲1.7
Democrat 5-10%
3.30%
▼1.3
Republican Wins
0.70%
–
Democrat 0-5%
0.55%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 35%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
