IL-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-30%" at 29.5% on "IL-09 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-30%
▲3.530%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $245Liquidity $10Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-30%
29.5%
▲3.5
Democrat 30-35%
29.0%
▼2.5
Democrat 55-60%
28.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 50-55%
28.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 0-20%
28.5%
▼4.5
Democrat 40-45%
24.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 35-40%
24.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 60%+
23.5%
▼1.5
Democrat 45-50%
23.5%
▼3.5
Republican Wins
4.05%
▲1.0
Probability over time
Democrat 20-30%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 0-20%
Democrat 40-45%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
