IL-11 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 35%+" at 31.5% on "IL-11 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 9.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 35%+
▼9.032%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 35%+
31.5%
▼9.0
Democrat 0-5%
31.5%
▼3.0
Democrat 20-25%
30.0%
▼4.5
Democrat 10-15%
30.0%
▼6.0
Democrat 30-35%
29.5%
▼7.0
Democrat 25-30%
23.0%
▼12.5
Democrat 15-20%
22.5%
▼12.0
Democrat 5-10%
22.0%
▼13.5
Republican Wins
21.9%
▼11.3
Probability over time
Democrat 35%+
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 25-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
