IL-11 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 31.5% on "IL-11 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 6.5%p from yesterday. $20 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
▼6.532%
PoliticsVol $20Total volume $14KLiquidity $118Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
31.5%
▼6.5
Democrat 20-25%
29.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 15-20%
27.0%
▲9.0
Democrat 35%+
10.4%
▲0.8
Democrat 30-35%
7.35%
▼4.0
Democrat 10-15%
4.00%
–
Democrat 5-10%
0.55%
–
Democrat 0-5%
0.50%
▼0.6
Republican Wins
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 35%+
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 10-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
