IL-13 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30-35%" at 30.5% on "IL-13 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $28 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 30-35%
▲1.031%
PoliticsVol $28Total volume $12KLiquidity $125Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 30-35%
30.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 25-30%
26.5%
▲1.5
Democrat 20-25%
17.0%
▲3.0
Democrat 35%+
12.9%
–
Democrat 15-20%
12.6%
–
Democrat 5-10%
5.60%
–
Democrat 10-15%
3.05%
▼1.7
Democrat 0-5%
2.05%
–
Republican Wins
0.55%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 35%+
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 5-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
