IL-13 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 5-10%" at 30.0% on "IL-13 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 5-10%
▲1.030%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $204Liquidity $9.8Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 5-10%
30.0%
▲1.0
Democrat 25-30%
29.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 10-15%
29.0%
▲2.5
Democrat 35%+
24.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 20-25%
24.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 0-5%
24.5%
▼4.5
Democrat 30-35%
23.5%
▼3.5
Democrat 15-20%
19.0%
▼7.0
Republican Wins
5.00%
▼11.5
Probability over time
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 35%+
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
