IL-14 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 21.5% on "IL-14 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 18.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▼18.022%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $20Liquidity $1.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
21.5%
▼18.0
Democrat 15-20%
21.5%
▼8.5
Democrat 30-35%
20.5%
▼14.5
Democrat 25-30%
20.5%
▼9.0
Democrat 5-10%
20.5%
▼12.5
Democrat 0-5%
20.5%
▼11.0
Democrat 35%+
17.0%
▼10.5
Democrat 10-15%
16.0%
▼15.5
Republican Wins
10.5%
▼21.5
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
