IL-14 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 28.5% on "IL-14 House Election Margin of Victory". $4 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
–28%
PoliticsVol $4Total volume $12KLiquidity $105Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
28.5%
–
Democrat 20-25%
26.5%
–
Democrat 15-20%
12.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 10-15%
10.4%
–
Democrat 30-35%
4.50%
–
Democrat 5-10%
3.70%
–
Democrat 35%+
1.10%
–
Democrat 0-5%
0.15%
–
Republican Wins
0.10%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 5-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
