IL-15 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 50%+" at 33.0% on "IL-15 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.0%p from yesterday. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 50%+
▼3.033%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $17Liquidity $1.2Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 50%+
33.0%
▼3.0
Republican 10-20%
33.0%
▲5.5
Republican 25-30%
24.0%
▼11.5
Republican 0-10%
23.0%
▼7.5
Democrat Wins
20.5%
▲15.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
