IL-16 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Darin LaHood (R)" at 96.2% on "IL-16 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. $4 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Darin LaHood (R)
–96%
PoliticsVol $4Total volume $61KLiquidity $44Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Darin LaHood (R)
96.2%
–
Paul Nolley (D)
1.65%
–
Probability over time
Darin LaHood (R)
Paul Nolley (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
