IL-17 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 34.5% on "IL-17 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 6.0%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▲6.035%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $17Liquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
34.5%
▲6.0
Democrat 0-5%
32.0%
▼4.5
Democrat 30%+
31.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 5-10%
31.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 15-20%
31.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 10-15%
26.0%
▼5.0
Democrat 25-30%
23.5%
▼5.5
Republican Wins
6.00%
▼1.0
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 30%+
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
