IL-17 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 27.0% on "IL-17 House Election Margin of Victory". $19 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
–27%
PoliticsVol $19Total volume $12KLiquidity $103Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
27.0%
–
Democrat 25-30%
23.4%
▲1.4
Democrat 15-20%
19.5%
–
Democrat 10-15%
9.75%
–
Democrat 5-10%
7.50%
–
Democrat 30%+
6.65%
–
Democrat 0-5%
4.45%
–
Republican Wins
3.10%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 30%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
