Illinois Governor Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 15-20%" at 24.5% on "Illinois Governor Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $5 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 15-20%
▲0.525%
PoliticsVol $5Total volume $7.9KLiquidity $78Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 15-20%
24.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 20-25%
19.5%
▼15.0
Democrat 30%+
18.5%
–
Democrat 25-30%
13.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 10-15%
9.40%
▼1.1
Democrat 5-10%
7.00%
▲0.5
Democrat 0-5%
2.90%
–
Republican Wins
0.90%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 30%+
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 5-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
