Illinois Governor Election Margin of Victory
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▲4.020%
PoliticsVol $46Total volume $1.6KLiquidity $70Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
19.5%
▲4.0
Democrat 25-30%
18.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 15-20%
15.0%
▼2.5
Democrat 10-15%
12.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 30%+
11.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 5-10%
9.50%
▼1.5
Democrat 0-5%
5.50%
–
Republican Wins
3.45%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
