IN-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 32.0% on "IN-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $361 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▼0.532%
PoliticsVol $361Total volume $9.0KLiquidity $58Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
32.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 15-20%
31.5%
–
Democrat 10-15%
16.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 25-30%
13.5%
▼3.0
Democrat 30%+
5.45%
▲0.8
Republican Wins
5.45%
▲1.7
Democrat 0-5%
4.65%
▼0.5
Democrat 5-10%
4.05%
▼1.5
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 30%+
Republican Wins
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
