IN-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 0-5%" at 33.0% on "IN-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 8.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 0-5%
▲8.533%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $19Liquidity $1.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 0-5%
33.0%
▲8.5
Democrat 30%+
29.0%
▼4.5
Democrat 25-30%
29.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 20-25%
28.5%
▼3.0
Democrat 15-20%
28.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 10-15%
24.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 5-10%
24.0%
▼1.0
Republican Wins
20.0%
▼6.0
Probability over time
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 30%+
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
