IN-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 37.5% on "IN-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 8.0%p from yesterday. $884 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▲8.038%
PoliticsVol $884Total volume $18KLiquidity $94Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
37.5%
▲8.0
Republican 15-20%
24.4%
–
Republican 20-25%
19.0%
▼0.5
Republican 25-30%
11.0%
▲7.0
Republican 5-10%
8.90%
–
Republican 0-5%
5.25%
▲0.6
Republican 35%+
5.15%
▼1.4
Republican 30-35%
3.35%
–
Democrat Wins
0.65%
–
Probability over time
Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
