IN-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 30.0% on "IN-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $527 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
▲1.530%
PoliticsVol $527Total volume $5.3KLiquidity $111Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
30.0%
▲1.5
Republican 25-30%
25.5%
▲0.5
Republican 15-20%
22.0%
▲0.5
Republican 30-35%
13.9%
▼4.3
Republican 10-15%
6.05%
▼5.7
Republican 40%+
5.85%
–
Republican 35-40%
3.00%
–
Democrat Wins
1.80%
–
Republican 0-10%
1.75%
–
Probability over time
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 40%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
