IN-04 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Jim Baird (R)" at 94.5% on "IN-04 House Election Winner". $1.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Jim Baird (R)
–95%
PoliticsVol $1.6KTotal volume $32KLiquidity $67Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Jim Baird (R)
94.5%
–
Drew Cox (D)
4.50%
–
Probability over time
Jim Baird (R)
Drew Cox (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
