IN-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 24.3% on "IN-04 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 5.5%p from yesterday. $273 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
▼5.524%
PoliticsVol $273Total volume $17KLiquidity $93Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
24.3%
▼5.5
Republican 15-20%
22.8%
▲4.3
Republican 25-30%
18.0%
▼4.0
Republican 30-35%
15.5%
–
Republican 35-40%
10.2%
▼0.8
Republican 10-15%
4.85%
▼0.7
Republican 0-10%
3.05%
–
Democrat Wins
1.65%
–
Republican 40%+
0.65%
–
Probability over time
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 10-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
