IN-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 6-9%" at 20.5% on "IN-05 House Election Margin of Victory". $572 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 6-9%
–21%
PoliticsVol $572Total volume $13KLiquidity $122Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 6-9%
20.5%
–
Republican 12-15%
17.0%
▲1.5
Republican 9-12%
14.0%
▲1.0
Republican 0-3%
13.6%
–
Republican 3-6%
13.5%
▼1.5
Democrat 3%+
11.6%
▲7.3
Republican 21%+
11.3%
▲1.2
Democrat 0-3%
10.3%
▲5.9
Republican 15-18%
7.00%
▲1.5
Republican 18-21%
4.45%
▲0.5
Probability over time
Republican 6-9%
Republican 12-15%
Republican 9-12%
Republican 0-3%
Republican 3-6%
Democrat 3%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
