IN-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 9-12%" at 40.0% on "IN-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 9-12%
▲2.040%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $168Liquidity $1.2Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 9-12%
40.0%
▲2.0
Republican 18-21%
37.5%
▲2.5
Republican 15-18%
37.5%
▲0.5
Republican 3-6%
28.5%
▼5.5
Republican 0-3%
28.0%
▼5.5
Republican 21%+
27.0%
▼7.0
Republican 6-9%
24.5%
▼10.5
Republican 12-15%
23.5%
▼10.0
Democrat 0-3%
21.0%
▼19.0
Democrat 3%+
20.0%
▲4.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
