IN-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 37.0% on "IN-06 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 17.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
▲17.037%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $135Liquidity $1.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
37.0%
▲17.0
Republican 35-40%
29.5%
▲3.5
Republican 20-25%
29.0%
▲2.5
Republican 45%+
28.5%
▲4.5
Republican 30-35%
28.5%
▲4.5
Republican 15-20%
26.5%
▲3.0
Republican 40-45%
24.0%
▼2.5
Republican 0-5%
21.0%
▼2.0
Republican 5-15%
18.5%
▼6.5
Democrat Wins
12.3%
▲8.3
Probability over time
Republican 25-30%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 45%+
Republican 30-35%
Republican 15-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
