IN-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 30.5% on "IN-06 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $1 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
▲1.031%
PoliticsVol $1Total volume $10KLiquidity $134Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
30.5%
▲1.0
Republican 15-20%
22.8%
–
Republican 35-40%
20.6%
▲8.9
Republican 25-30%
18.5%
▲3.5
Republican 30-35%
10.0%
–
Republican 5-15%
9.05%
–
Republican 0-5%
8.55%
▲0.7
Republican 40-45%
4.80%
–
Republican 45%+
2.75%
–
Democrat Wins
2.60%
–
Probability over time
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 5-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
