IN-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 35-40%" at 35.0% on "IN-07 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 6.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 35-40%
▲6.035%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $242Liquidity $9.9Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 35-40%
35.0%
▲6.0
Democrat 30-35%
26.5%
▲5.5
Democrat 45-50%
26.0%
▼4.0
Democrat 40-45%
26.0%
▼3.5
Democrat 20-30%
26.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 60%+
25.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 50-55%
24.5%
▼2.5
Democrat 0-20%
20.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 55-60%
19.5%
▼2.0
Republican Wins
3.20%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 20-30%
Democrat 60%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
