IN-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 45-50%" at 32.5% on "IN-07 House Election Margin of Victory". $178 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 45-50%
–33%
PoliticsVol $178Total volume $12KLiquidity $97Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 45-50%
32.5%
–
Democrat 40-45%
25.5%
–
Democrat 50-55%
24.5%
▲3.0
Democrat 55-60%
14.4%
▲1.8
Democrat 35-40%
8.50%
▲1.5
Democrat 30-35%
6.40%
–
Democrat 20-30%
4.40%
▲0.9
Democrat 60%+
2.95%
–
Democrat 0-20%
0.60%
–
Republican Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 30-35%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
