IN-08 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Mark Messmer (R)" at 96.3% on "IN-08 House Election Winner". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Mark Messmer (R)
–96%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $43KLiquidity $30Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Mark Messmer (R)
96.3%
–
Mary Allen (D)
3.20%
–
Probability over time
Mark Messmer (R)
Mary Allen (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
