IN-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 30-35%" at 30.5% on "IN-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $81 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 30-35%
▲1.031%
PoliticsVol $81Total volume $6.4KLiquidity $83Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 30-35%
30.5%
▲1.0
Republican 25-30%
22.0%
–
Republican 20-25%
16.0%
▼5.0
Republican 5-15%
13.8%
▲5.5
Republican 15-20%
12.0%
▼3.0
Democrat Wins
7.60%
▼3.5
Republican 40-45%
5.80%
▼5.2
Republican 45%+
5.50%
▲0.7
Republican 35-40%
4.40%
▼3.2
Republican 0-5%
0.20%
–
Probability over time
Republican 30-35%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 5-15%
Republican 15-20%
Democrat Wins
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
