IN-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 32.5% on "IN-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. $48 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
▲2.033%
PoliticsVol $48Total volume $134Liquidity $9.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
32.5%
▲2.0
Republican 25-30%
31.0%
▲5.5
Republican 35-40%
28.5%
▲4.5
Republican 15-20%
27.0%
▲1.5
Republican 40-45%
26.5%
–
Republican 45%+
24.0%
▼6.5
Republican 0-5%
24.0%
▼6.5
Republican 5-15%
23.5%
–
Republican 30-35%
15.5%
▼8.0
Democrat Wins
1.10%
–
Probability over time
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 40-45%
Republican 45%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
