IN-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 37.0% on "IN-09 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $20 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
▲1.037%
PoliticsVol $20Total volume $11KLiquidity $44Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
37.0%
▲1.0
Republican 15-20%
35.0%
▲7.5
Republican 25-30%
24.0%
▲5.5
Republican 30-35%
13.5%
–
Republican 10-15%
10.0%
▼1.0
Republican 35-40%
5.25%
–
Republican 0-10%
4.05%
–
Republican 40%+
3.25%
–
Democrat Wins
0.95%
▼1.9
Probability over time
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 35-40%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
