Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Sand 12%+" at 22.0% on "Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Sand 12%+
▼0.522%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $10.0KLiquidity $185Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Sand 12%+
22.0%
▼0.5
Sand 6-9%
21.5%
▼1.0
Sand 9-12%
14.8%
–
Sand 3-6%
14.0%
–
Sand 0-3%
13.0%
▲1.6
Lahn 0-3%
9.00%
–
Lahn 3-6%
3.30%
–
Lahn 6-9%
0.75%
–
Lahn 9-12%
0.40%
–
Lahn 12%+
0.25%
–
Probability over time
Sand 12%+
Sand 6-9%
Sand 9-12%
Sand 3-6%
Sand 0-3%
Lahn 0-3%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
