Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory
Most likely right now
Democrat 6-9%
▲5.519%
PoliticsVol $47Total volume $1.4KLiquidity $65Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 6-9%
19.0%
▲5.5
Democrat 3-6%
16.5%
▲0.5
Republican 0-3%
13.5%
▲1.5
Democrat 9-12%
13.5%
▲6.0
Democrat 0-3%
13.0%
▲0.5
Republican 3-6%
6.50%
▲2.5
Democrat 12%+
5.50%
▼3.5
Republican 6-9%
4.70%
▼25.1
Republican 9-12%
4.50%
▼25.0
Republican 12%+
3.25%
▼23.6
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
