Iowa Senate Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Ashley Hinson (R)" at 57.5% on "Iowa Senate Election Winner". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. $30K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Ashley Hinson (R)
▲2.057%
PoliticsVol $30KTotal volume $830KLiquidity $437KComments 9in 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Ashley Hinson (R)
57.5%
▲2.0
Josh Turek (D)
43.5%
▼1.0
Probability over time
Ashley Hinson (R)
Josh Turek (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
