Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 3-6%" at 27.5% on "Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory". Down 14.5%p from yesterday. $2.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 3-6%
▼14.528%
PoliticsVol $2.6KTotal volume $5.2KLiquidity $103Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 3-6%
27.5%
▼14.5
Democrat 0-3%
19.0%
▲1.5
Republican 0-3%
16.5%
▲6.5
Democrat 3-6%
14.9%
▲0.5
Republican 6-9%
12.5%
▼4.0
Democrat 6-9%
5.75%
▲2.3
Republican 9-12%
3.85%
▲0.5
Democrat 9-12%
3.45%
▼1.3
Republican 12%+
0.50%
▼1.9
Democrat 12%+
0.40%
▼0.7
Probability over time
Republican 3-6%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 0-3%
Democrat 3-6%
Republican 6-9%
Democrat 6-9%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
