Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Turek 0-3%" at 36.5% on "Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Turek 0-3%
▲2.537%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $9.5KLiquidity $139Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Turek 0-3%
36.5%
▲2.5
Hinson 0-3%
24.5%
–
Hinson 3-6%
13.5%
–
Turek 3-6%
8.45%
▼2.4
Turek 6-9%
7.95%
–
Turek 12%+
7.90%
▲3.9
Hinson 6-9%
6.00%
▼0.5
Turek 9-12%
3.10%
–
Hinson 12%+
2.70%
–
Hinson 9-12%
1.40%
–
Probability over time
Turek 0-3%
Hinson 0-3%
Hinson 3-6%
Turek 3-6%
Turek 6-9%
Turek 12%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
