Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Polymarket traders put "September 30" at 46.0% on "Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?". Up 5.0%p from yesterday. $30K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 1.

Most likely right now
September 30
5.046%
PoliticsVol $30KTotal volume $941KLiquidity $89KComments 43in 1 months (Oct 1)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
September 30
46.0%
5.0
August 31
19.5%
8.0

Probability over time

September 30
August 31
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.