Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 36.5% on "Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?". Down 12.0%p from yesterday. $42K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
▼12.037%
PoliticsVol $42KTotal volume $2.9MLiquidity $90KComments 156in 21 days (Nov 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
36.5%
▼12.0
November 30
33.5%
▲1.0
October 31
19.5%
▼6.5

Probability over time

December 31
November 30
October 31
02550751009/19/89/159/229/2910/610/9
2026-09-01 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.