Israel closes its airspace by...?

Most likely right now
September 30
2.08%
PoliticsVol $37KTotal volume $27.4MLiquidity $116KComments 986in 1 months (Oct 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
September 30
7.50%
2.0
August 31
2.35%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.