Israel closes its airspace by...?

Polymarket traders put "Israel closes its airspace by...?" at 98.0%. Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $86K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Oct 1.

Most likely right now
September 30
▼0.598%
PoliticsVol $86KTotal volume $31.0MLiquidity $92KComments 1,423Closed (Oct 1)
Current probability

Sep 20 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
September 30
98.0%
▼0.5

Probability over time

September 30
02550751008/259/39/79/119/159/199/20
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-09-20 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.