Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

Polymarket traders put "Israel election: will Likud lose seats?" at 92.9%. It resolves on Oct 28.

Most likely right now
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
–93%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $27KLiquidity $22KComments 5in 17 days (Oct 28)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
92.9%
–

Probability over time

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.