Israel military action against Iraq by...?

Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 29.0% on "Israel military action against Iraq by...?". $220 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
October 31
29%
PoliticsVol $220Total volume $220Liquidity $8.5Kin 3 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Sep 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
29.0%
September 30
14.5%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.