Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
Polymarket traders put "November 8" at 87.0% on "Israel military action against Lebanon on...?". $3.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 23 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
November 8
–87%
PoliticsVol $3.1KTotal volume $3.1KLiquidity $12Kin 25 days (Dec 1)
Current probability
Nov 6 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
November 8
87.0%
–
November 9
85.0%
–
November 13
84.5%
–
November 12
81.5%
–
November 14
81.5%
–
November 15
81.0%
–
November 11
80.5%
–
November 26
80.0%
–
November 16
79.0%
–
November 6
76.0%
–
November 25
74.0%
–
November 7
65.0%
–
November 27
64.5%
–
November 29
64.0%
–
November 24
63.5%
–
November 17
61.5%
–
November 10
60.5%
–
November 21
47.0%
–
November 28
47.0%
–
November 20
45.5%
–
November 22
45.5%
–
November 23
45.5%
–
November 30
43.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
