Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 71.5% on "Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?". $41 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
October 31
72%
PoliticsVol $41Total volume $41Liquidity $481in 1 months (Nov 1)
Current probability

Sep 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
71.5%
October 15
25.0%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.