Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Polymarket traders put "Likud" at 44.0% on "Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place". $2.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 15 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 28.

Most likely right now
Likud
–44%
PoliticsVol $2.2KTotal volume $2.2KLiquidity $211Kin 22 days (Oct 28)
Current probability

Oct 6 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Likud
44.0%
–
Yashar
43.0%
–
Together
9.00%
–
The Democrats
5.20%
–
Yisrael Beiteinu
3.50%
–
Shas
3.45%
–
United Torah Judaism
1.10%
–
RZP-Zehut
1.10%
–
Joint List
1.10%
–
Otzma Yehudit
0.55%
–
Blue and White
0.55%
–
Ra'am
0.55%
–
Amcha Yisrael
0.55%
–
Noam
0.55%
–
The Reservists and the Economic Party
0.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.